I’ve got good news and better news. Good news is we’ve got another Kountermove breakdown for you here just in time to make your picks for this weekend’s UFC on Fox 12 event. The better news is that the good people of Kountermove have set up another freeroll for Fightbooth.com readers. Before we start, here’s a reminder of how Kountermove works and scores fights.
“About Kountermove. Kountermove, Inc. is currently the world’s leading Fantasy MMA community. Kountermove is like fantasy football or baseball, but for MMA. Our founders, Aaron Ard and Brian Knapp, are Jiu-jitsu black belts and IBJJF competitors.
Pick your team of 5 fighters. You are given a “salary cap” of $25,000 in fantasy money to spend on drafting your team of fighters you expect to perform well/win.
Each fighter is assigned a price that is reflective of his or her respective odds. For example, in UFC 167: GSP cost $6,000, while Johny Hendricks cost $5,000. Since Hendricks is the underdog, he cost less than GSP.
Score Points and Win. Once the fight card begins, you accumulate points based on how well your picks performed.
Winners are determined by the most points earned – points are awarded: strikes landed, submission attempts, knockdowns, dominant positions, rounds won, and knockout or submission bonuses.
Fight statistics are provided by FightMetric LLC, the UFC’s official stats provider.”
Here are a few extra links to get you accustomed to how the site works and how performances are scored.
Remember this is fantasy sports, so you’re not only trying to pick a winner but someone you think will finish the fight or rack up a ton of points on their way to a decision.
So without further ado, here are 5 quick tips that could help your team out on Saturday:
1. This one was an easy pick for me when the fight was originally announced but I really like Anthony Johnson ($5500) to win in impressive fashion this weekend. I think that this is actually a step down in competition for ‘Rumble’ after his manhandling of Phil Davis, who had just come off of a win over Lyoto Machida. I think that Rumble is going to stay out of Nogueira’s boxing range, tearing Little Nog up with the full range of strikes Johnson has proven that he has and stopping the Brazilian early in the fight. This is a fight, so there’s always the chance that Nogueira might catch him with something crazy, but Johnson is my most confident pick on this card not just for the win, but for the finish as well.
2. A cheap pick that I like this week is Daron Cruickshank ($4200). I think this fight is going to play out as a striking battle, with both guys having some good moments. If there is a finish, I see it coming from Cruickshank, being the more explosive of the two lightweights. If the fight goes to a decision he will still rack up some points for you from the striking exchanges regardless of who wins the fight.
3. One expensive pick I would stay away from is Josh Thomson ($5800). I’m going to start off by saying that I do think Thomson is going to win the fight. I’m just not as sure that he will finish Green as much as I want to be when putting a fighter who costs this much on my team. Simply put, I think that there are safer picks for fighters who will finish their fights for less money than it will cost you to have Thomson on your team.
4. A fight I see no chance of going the distance is the main event barnburner between Robbie Lawler ($6000) and Matt Brown ($5000). These are two guys who are perfectly content standing in the pocket until the other hits the ground. Whichever way you lean going in to this fight it would be a smart move to put your pick firmly on any KM team you put together. I’m pretty confident that Lawler gets the finish and even though $6000 is pricey I still like him for a KM team. I think Erick Silva could have potentially finish Matt Brown in their last fight with one more shot to the body. If I had to guess I’d say Lawler picked up on that too while watching the fight and is going to weaken Brown with some vicious shots to the body before going up top to hand ‘The Immortal’ his first TKO loss.
5. One fight to be cautious of picking is the preliminary bout between Patrick Cummins ($4800) and Kyle Kingsbury ($4800). A lot of people are confident that Cummins is going to run into the fight and finish Kingsbu in the first round the way he did in all four of his fights coming into the ufc but I think these fighters are actually pretty evenly matched. I think Cummins takes this one, having an advantage on the ground and not having to deal with the almost two year downtime that his opponent is facing, but I don’t think the finish is a lock by any means. It’s just one man’s opinion, but I think that there are other preliminary fighters that are stronger candidates to secure you some big points on Saturday.
To enter the Kountermove freeroll tournament for Fightbooth.com readers just click the link below! There are 150 spots and the usually fill up pretty quick so get on it!
For anyone who doesn’t already have a Kountermove account, it’s free and easy to sign up. Not to mention it takes like 20 seconds. Be quick though, these tournaments fill up fast!
Questions? Suggestions? Give me a shout on twitter @BlackEyeBowtie