We’ve got a full weekend of UFC events this weekend with Bellator 131 happening Friday night and UFC 180 Saturday night in Mexico. In preparation for the fights on this weekend, we’ve got your regular Kountermove fantasy MMA breakdown and freeroll for Fightbooth readers from the good people over at KM. The breakdown will include a few picks I like and a one I’m not so fond of for each card. Before we get to that, here`s a little reminder from the founders of the site on how KM works and how fights are scored:
“About Kountermove. Kountermove, Inc. is currently the world’s leading Fantasy MMA community. Kountermove is like fantasy football or baseball, but for MMA. Our founders, Aaron Ard and Brian Knapp, are Jiu-jitsu black belts and IBJJF competitors.
Pick your team of 5 fighters. You are given a “salary cap” of $25,000 in fantasy money to spend on drafting your team of fighters you expect to perform well/win.
Each fighter is assigned a price that is reflective of his or her respective odds. For example, in UFC 167: GSP cost $6,000, while Johny Hendricks cost $5,000. Since Hendricks is the underdog, he cost less than GSP.
Score Points and Win. Once the fight card begins, you accumulate points based on how well your picks performed.
Winners are determined by the most points earned – points are awarded: strikes landed, submission attempts, knockdowns, dominant positions, rounds won, and knockout or submission bonuses.
Fight statistics are provided by FightMetric LLC, the UFC’s official stats provider.”
Here are a few extra links to get you accustomed to how the site works and how performances are scored.
Remember this is fantasy sports, so you’re not only trying to pick a winner but someone you think will finish the fight or rack up a ton of points on their way to a decision.
Here are 3 quick tips for each event that will hopefully help you make some cash this weekend:
1. Every now and then Kountermove likes to hide big favorites under a low price tag for anyone who’s really paying attention and I think ‘King Mo’ Muhammed Lawal ($4,400) is a perfect example of this. King Mo has only lost to top level competition and Vedepo, while dangerous, doesn’t exactly fall into that category. It’s important to also point out that Vedepo has been competing as a middleweight and that he’s coming in as a late replacement with less than two weeks’ notice. All signs point to King Mo coasting through this one. It might not come in the first round, but I see King Mo getting Vedepo to the ground and eventually getting the finish.
2. Another cheap pick who’s got a pretty solid spot on my Kountermove team this weekend is Michael Chandler ($4,900). I think the first time Chandler fought Brooks we weren’t exactly seeing the best version of the former Bellator champ. I think he comes in to prove a point on Friday night and gets a decisive win. He’s got the power to finish the fight but I can see this fight going the full five rounds. Even if the fight does go to decision Chandler will get you a ton of KM points with his striking output and takedowns.
3. A fight I’m definitely going to be staying away from, despite being the main event, is the Light Heavyweight bout between Tito Ortiz ($5,500) and Stephan Bonnar ($5,200). The fight is way to0 much of a wildcard in my eyes for me to be confident in any one outcome. It wouldn’t surprise me at all for either fighter to come out in the first round and finish his opponent in the first round but it also wouldn’t shock me if they both gassed and the fight went to a sloppy, tired decision where neither fighter gets more than 40 KM points. I’m leaning towards Ortiz to get the win, but the complete unpredictability of this fight is keeping me away.
1. A lot of people are trying to completely stay away from the TUF Latin America contestants because of the history of unpredictability with TUF contestant but I think there’s value in a few of the TUF alumni. I like Gabriel Benitez ($4,800) in particular to pick up the finish on Saturday. Win or lose, the majority of Humberto Brown’s fights have ended with a submission. I think he’ll try to get Benitez to the ground to find the submission finish but from what I’ve seen Benitez is actually the more skilled submission fighter of the two. Regardless of who takes the fight to the ground, I see Benitez getting the early submission. Costing less that the average $5,000 price tag you need to stay within, Benitez likely makes a great addition to your KM lineup.
2. Edgar Garcia ($5,500) is a fighter I’m going to stay away from in his fight against TUF 19 cast member Hector Urbina, despite him being one of the bigger favorites on the card. I think this is one of those fights that’s going to end up being a lot closer than most people think. Both fighters match up pretty similarly. I think Garcia’s the likely winner here but Urbina’s a tough fighter and has experience against a higher level of competition (despite Garcia being the one with a previous stint in the UFC). I think there’s a good chance this ends up being a close fight,
3. A dirt cheap pick that I definitely like this weekend is going to be Leslie Smith ($4,000) in her matchup with Jessica Eye. I’m actually surprised that she’s this cheap, given that she has wins against a higher level of competition and is fresh off of putting Jessamyn Duke down in the first round back in July, whereas Eye hasn’t yet had a win in the UFC. Smith excels when she can bait her opponent into a slugfest, a situation Jessica Eye will likely serve up to ‘The Peacemaker’. Smith has also never been finished and with Jessica Eye winning the majority of her fight by decision I can easily see this fight being a close decision with Smith having a good chance at getting the victory based on her aggressive style. In a close fight like this one you want the fighter who costs you $4,000. Smith’s your pick.
If you don’t have an account you’re in luck; it only takes about an email address and about 30 seconds to sign up. Once you’ve got an account it’s as easy as clicking the link below.
Good luck this weekend!
Questions? Suggestions? Give me a shout on twitter @BlackEyeBowtie
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