Continuing with 2015 string of exciting events and matchups, we’ve got UFC 183 this weekend with a number of intriguing fights including the much anticipated middleweight matchup between former champ Anderson Silva and former welterweight title challenger Nick Diaz. In preparation for the fights on Saturday, we’ve got your regular Kountermove breakdown including two picks I like and a fighter I’m staying away from. We’ve also got a shot at some free money for Fightbooth.com readers with a freeroll from the good people of KM. Before we get to that, here’s a reminder from the founders of the site on how KM works and how fights are scored for anyone who’s new to the game:
“About Kountermove. Kountermove, Inc. is currently the world’s leading Fantasy MMA community. Kountermove is like fantasy football or baseball, but for MMA. Our founders, Aaron Ard and Brian Knapp, are Jiu-jitsu black belts and IBJJF competitors.
Pick your team of 5 fighters. You are given a “salary cap” of $25,000 in fantasy money to spend on drafting your team of fighters you expect to perform well/win.
Each fighter is assigned a price that is reflective of his or her respective odds. For example, in UFC 167: GSP cost $6,000, while Johny Hendricks cost $5,000. Since Hendricks is the underdog, he cost less than GSP.
Score Points and Win. Once the fight card begins, you accumulate points based on how well your picks performed.
Winners are determined by the most points earned – points are awarded: strikes landed, submission attempts, knockdowns, dominant positions, rounds won, and knockout or submission bonuses.
Fight statistics are provided by FightMetric LLC, the UFC’s official stats provider.”
Here are a few extra links to get you accustomed to how the site works and how performances are scored.
Remember this is fantasy sports, so you’re not only trying to pick a winner but someone you think will finish the fight or rack up a ton of points on their way to a decision. Don’t have a Kountermove account? All it takes is about 30 seconds and an email address so don’t panic, you’ve still got time before the fights start.
Here are three quick tips for each event that will hopefully help you make some cash on Saturday:
1. An expensive fighter but one who I think will come away with an impressive victory & Kountermove score is the former champ Anderson Silva ($5,800). Unless the gruesome leg injury Silva picked up in his last bout with Weidman has completely derailed him, I just don’t see a path to victory for Diaz in this fight. Silva will come in to this fight with a significant size advantage as well as a more versatile array of strikes and although Diaz is one of the better boxers in the UFC he is not the type of power puncher that will likely give us questions about Silva’s chin. If a finish comes in this fight I see it coming from the Brazilian, but if the fight goes to decision I see Silva convincingly winning four if not all five rounds. There are a number of fights that could go either way on this card but I think this is one of the more solid locks for a good KM score Saturday night.
2. If you’re looking to save some money on a cheap pick who’s got a KM friendly style look no further than Joe Lauzon ($4,700). Iaquinta has been on a vicious streak ever since getting submitted by Mitch Clarke at UFC 173 but is taking a step up in competition against a fight who has been competing against a higher level of competition for the better part of the past few years. I think they trade early in the first round before Lauzon is able to get the fight to the ground and exposes Iaquinta’s questionable ground game and submission defense. Regardless of where the fight takes place Lauzon has the aggressive output type of style that helps out your KM team.
3. A dirt cheap pick that I’m actually going to be staying away from is going to be John Lineker ($4,100). There may be a temptation here to pick Linker just because he’s so cheap and has KO power but I don’t see him landing a fight ending blow in this fight. If he doesn’t get that one-punch knockout I don’t see a situation where he finds another way to win the fight. The more likely alternative is McCall using his speed, footwork, and significant wrestling advantages to outpoint Lineker and win all three rounds. There are a number of fighters who cost less than $5,000 who will give you space on your team to shop for some more expensive options who are likely to get you more points than Lineker.
Entering the freeroll is as easy as following the link & picking your team of 5 fighters. These things tend to fill up fast, so get on it quick!
Good luck this weekend!
Questions? Suggestions? Give me a shout on twitter @BlackEyeBowtie
Cover Photo by Esther Lin/MMA Fighting
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